Sunday, December 15, 2024

Attempt to redo the models from recent papers.

 Attempt to redo the models from recent papers.

  1. Armenia LBA as a simple mixture of Kura-Araxes and Catacomb is a failure. P value too low. ( pic. 1)
  2. Addition of an Anatolian population like Ikiztepe C improves the p value. This was done in Skourtanioti 2024. The model is feasible. p=0.2
  3. The use of CamlibelTarlasi_LateC instead of Ikiztepe improves the p value even more. Done in Yediay 2024. p more than 0.3
  4. An addition of Leila tepe culture (from what is now Azerbaijan) instead of Anatolian C improves the p value much more. p more than 0.7. But the standard errors increase a lot because the Kura-Araxes and Leila tepe are too close genome wide to each other. To reduce the standard errors I need to change the settings (right pops). This will require a time from me. But I think its quite obvious what is going here.
  5. And finally I add the Ukraine N hunter gatherers to the source and the p value reaches practically 0.9, close to certitude. The standard errors also improves slightly, but still requires improvement.
Conclusions. The populations that played a role in the formation of Trialeti Vanadzor culture came from what is now the Krasnodar region, acquired there a minor Ukraine_N HG ancestry. Moved via Dagestan mixed with older South Caucasian Chalcholithic groups in Kura-Araxes plains then splits into two branches. One moved to upstream to Kur-Debed region and created the TVC, while the other moved to Urmia and Van basins and created Van-Urmia culture even though their genetic impact there was lower than in TVC. The Y DNA associated with those people should be searched in Krasnodar region. L584, I2a2b, PH331. Finding Y4364 will be harder. Its even possible that the true homeland of Proto-Yamnaya was also there





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